BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Lake Mills

Class: 1A Class Rank: 27 Conference: (4-3) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   62.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/03/2004 Home    L    36.74   0   30   2A   27 ( 3- 7) Garner-Hayfield       -26.94     -3.06                      
  2 09/10/2004 Away    L    60.75  14   41    A    6 (10- 2) Northwood-Kensett      -2.93    -24.07                      
  3 09/17/2004 Home    W *  70.74  56   16   1A   58 ( 1- 8) Rockford                7.05 *   32.95                      
  4 09/24/2004 Away    W *  61.74  24   14   1A   43 ( 2- 7) Greene North Butler    -1.94     11.94                      
  5 10/01/2004 Home    L *  64.73  14   33   1A    4 ( 9- 2) Algona Garrigan         1.05    -20.05                      
  6 10/08/2004 Home    W *  64.75  30   15   1A   45 ( 3- 7) Mason City Newman       1.07     13.93                      
  7 10/15/2004 Away    L *  62.47   7   21   1A   16 ( 6- 3) Aplington AP           -1.21    -12.79                      
  8 10/22/2004 Away    L *  73.48  14   28   1A    2 ( 9- 1) Saint Ansgar            9.79    -23.79                      
  9 10/29/2004 Home    W *  77.74  30    6   1A   37 ( 3- 6) Belmond-Klemme         14.06      9.94                      
      Averages              63.68  21.0 22.7

Best game:   77.74 = 24 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Worst game:  36.74 = 30 point loss to Garner-Hayfield
Team stdev:  11.65